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Tag Archives: Merry Xmas

Xmas Trimmings, etc.

24 Monday Dec 2012

Posted by Wexboy in Uncategorized

≈ 14 Comments

Tags

ASFI, Asta Funding, BIW, CLNY, Colony Financial, Conwert, correlation, CWI, distressed assets, FIG, financial crisis, Fortress Investment Group, intrinsic value, Karl Ehlerding, KWG Kommunale Wohnen, Leverage, majority control, Merry Xmas, Price/Book, Stavros Efremidis, TRIB, Trinity Biotech

Asta Funding (ASFI:US) $9.37:   I’ve marginally trimmed my stake from 3.8% to 3.6% – consider this to be purely risk ‘house-keeping‘. This realizes a +22% gain vs. my write-up price on this small slice, and a +31% gain vs. my actual net entry price (which inc. the impact of dividends). I never got around to an Asta follow-up, as the share price (& NAV) just steadily chugged higher. Despite the rising share price, I’ve been bemused (even encouraged) by the general air of neglect still attached to this stock. Even ASFI shareholders have expressed a distinct lack of enthusiasm for the company’s progress in the past year! This is particularly in reaction to the company’s diversification into personal injury & divorce financing. Which puzzles me…

I’d counter this distaste in a number of ways: i) This new direction was prompted by Asta’s reluctance to pay up to acquire new distressed consumer receivable portfolios*. Personally, I’m delighted – how often do you see management take an absolute, rather than a relative, approach to value? [Picking up distressed debt at 9 cts on the dollar, while everybody else pays 10 cts, doesn’t mean you’ve bagged an actual bargain!] And to resist pissing away idle cash burning a hole in their pockets is quite admirable too. Of course, returning capital (via share buybacks) is a great alternative – Asta’s pursued this to a limited degree during the year. However, considering current metrics, I consider the short term return/attraction of a buyback is fairly even balanced against the potentially higher returns on offer from a (gradual) investment of their cash into distressed assets.

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A Merry Xmas & A Prosperous New Year!

24 Saturday Dec 2011

Posted by Wexboy in Uncategorized

≈ Comments Off on A Merry Xmas & A Prosperous New Year!

Tags

fear and greed, home bias investing, Merry Xmas, value investing

A Merry Xmas to you, dear reader! It’s been a bit of a bumpy year – so remember to take some time out this Xmas to relax and enjoy the season with family and friends.

Yes, looks like it’s been one of those years where the blithe buy-and-hold 100% home market ‘investor’ beats most of us hard working egghead investor types..! I’m thinking specifically of the S&P 500 (and the US dollar, of course), which is up v marginally for the year, vs. most other (down) markets ‘round the world. Not trying to pick on US investors, but the average US Joe Public investor  usually suffers from a pretty bad case of home bias. (And no, I don’t blame the average US investor. It’s ludicrous to see most US financial journalists, advisers etc. recommend an ‘adventurous’ 20-30% allocation to foreign markets/currencies when the US share of global GDP is limited to 25%!).

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