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Tag Archives: Ponzi

Chasing Some Dividend Tail (II)..?

25 Wednesday Jul 2012

Posted by Wexboy in Uncategorized

≈ 16 Comments

Tags

Avon Products, dividend coverage, dividend snorting, dividend yield, income/dividend bubble, Ponzi, REIT/MLP sector, Supervalu Inc., tax-free compounding

Continued from here.

OK, so what’s wrong with a focus on income/dividends?

– Erm, everything..? I wrote about this recently – a focus on a single investment attribute’s always dangerous, but dividend yield certainly seems the v worst of the bunch to me. Sure, it all starts out innocently enough… You have a little toke on a 4% yield occasionally – feels good! But all too soon, it’s not enough – you end up calling your broker every single day, snorting up 6% yields left and right. But it’s OK, it’s low risk, you still know what you’re doing – not like those other losers… So how come I came across you the other day, twitching on a park bench, scanning the dividend column in the FT, muttering ‘All I need is just one more 9 per-center…‘?

– A ‘good‘ dividend yield can’t save a bad share. I wonder how much money’s been lost by people saying ‘…but hey, it’s got a great dividend…‘? All higher yields mostly seem to offer in a portfolio is a gradual migration into mature and/or declining businesses. And what does that offer in terms of upside?! Even worse, it leaves nowhere to hide when the dividend’s compromised – your income drops, and the share price crashes…

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TGISVP – What’s Interesting, What’s Not..?

09 Monday Jul 2012

Posted by Wexboy in Uncategorized

≈ 1 Comment

Tags

Bank of Ireland, bubbles, dividend yield, DYOR, intrinsic value, ISEQ, natural resource stocks, Ovoca Gold, Permanent TSB, Petroneft Resources, Ponzi, portfolio allocation, portfolio performance, Prime Active Capital, REIT/MLP sector, stock screener, TGISVP, Total Produce

In my last post, I was pleased to see TGISVP continue to deliver significant out-performance vs. the ISEQ benchmark. Early days yet: This could be blind luck, but hopefully it’s derived from a robust analytical process that clearly identifies over/under-valued shares. Which naturally demands a bit of a refresh…

I haven’t actually felt compelled to perform any Irish share revaluations since my TGISVP X post, even for stocks I hold. Personally, I’m pleased with this – I’m v comfortable with my Irish holdings, I believe my valuations are robust, and there’s been no unexpected news-flow. In light of my current Irish portfolio allocation (16%), and actual stocks I hold, I’d be reluctant to add another Irish share. This doesn’t mean forgetting the rest, of course! It does mean I can just watch out for interesting price drops, rather than agonize over constantly refreshing valuations.

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