Tags
Expected Value, Greencore, IFG Group, IRR, Margin of Safety, offer premium, preliminary approach, recommended offer, Risk Arbitrage, takeover offers, Takeover Panel
Continued from here:
iii) Takeover Offers are a catalyst with a much shorter duration than Liquidations or Wind-downs, usually within 2 to 8 months. In the UK, for example, Takeover Panel rules keep things on a fairly strict timetable. In terms of risk, they probably fall somewhere between the two: Your Gross Return is reasonably stable/well-defined, but price volatility and the chances of failure are a lot higher.
It’s not so prudent to give examples of current takeover offers, as price volatility and news flow can change things all too quickly. But I’ll give a brief update on a current Risk Arb situation in which I’m investing, and share my own observations and approach to this type of catalyst: