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Tag Archives: Reinhart & Rogoff

US Economy, Government Finances & Debt – The Final Gory Details (IV)

05 Tuesday Jun 2012

Posted by Wexboy in Uncategorized

≈ 3 Comments

Tags

% of GDP, average debt maturity, baby boomers, budget deficit, Debt/GDP Ratio, European sovereign debt crisi, fiscal cliff, fiscal deficits, Intragovernmental Holdings, Reinhart & Rogoff, Sell in May, Social Security, US Congress, US government finances, US government revenues, US government spending, US Treasury

Continued from here.

Apologies, readers. Deficits left me feeling a little nauseated, I had to take a little breather on this series! In my last post, I highlighted the 2010 total US budget deficit (ignore the primary deficit, it’s irrelevant) was a whopping 8.9% of GDP. In the past half-century, this is the 2nd largest deficit on record (2009 being the winner), but it’s in good company. Nine of every 10 years politicians have outspent revenues, and in 2009-12 the deficit’s expected to consistently exceed $1 trillion (and 7.5% of GDP). It’s no longer surprising how quickly politicians can turn the truly exceptional into the simply mundane…

I think I also sidestepped the quicksand of Republican vs. Democrat debate?! This debate, and their respective philosophies, seem utterly pointless when there’s no credible attempt to eliminate deficits – it’s just moving the deck chairs ’round the Titanic. And deficit rhetoric’s always presented as ‘spending cuts, no tax hikes‘, or vice versa. Such one-sided (and unworkable) solutions are ludicrous – the only sensible solution is a deficit elimination plan based equally on tax hikes & spending cuts.

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Xmas List (II)

09 Friday Dec 2011

Posted by Wexboy in Uncategorized

≈ 4 Comments

Tags

A.W. Jones, Charles Kindleberger, Margin of Safety, Matt Cooper, Peter Cundill, Peter Gyllenhammar, Reinhart & Rogoff, Seth Klarman

Finance:                   

‘There’s Always Something to Do’ – Christopher Risso-Gill:   I was always a big admirer of Peter Cundill, and was saddened to see he passed away at the beginning of the year. If I recall, Cundill was perhaps my first memorable introduction to the exotic world of international value investing, and I look forward to some useful tips and insight from a master in this book.

‘Free Capital’ – Guy Thomas:   I haven’t actually come across a copy of this yet. Yes, I’m a big supporter of bookshops…so I can suss out what books I actually want to buy on Amazon! Only kidding, I do try to buy in bookstores as much as possible. At least, they’re a lot more enjoyable and comfortable places to be these days. I’m bemused to recall my local bookstore years ago: As far as I could tell, the shop assistants (yes, they were called that then) had only 2 functions: a) to stare at you in contempt when you tried to buy a book, or even worse inquire about one, and b) to sneak up behind you, and yell ‘No reading the books!’ over your shoulder… How quaint!

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